With all that has happened over the last few weeks, the Federal Reserve is more hawkish now than it was during its January meeting, J.P. Morgan chief global strategist David Kelly told CNBC on Wednesday.
Minutes from that meeting, held Jan. 30-31, were released on Wednesday. They indicated the Fed sees increased economic growth and an uptick in inflation as justification to continue to raise interest rates.
"Three weeks is a long time in monetary policy," Kelly said in an interview with "Power Lunch" shortly after the minutes were released.
For one, there wasn't a budget agreement. The budget, which President Donald Trump signed into law on Feb. 9, includes a $300 billion boost in spending on military and domestic programs.
"That budget agreement is highly stimulative. Also the risk of a government shutdown is gone. Also, we had a wage scare. Also, we had a CPI [Consumer Price Index] inflation scare. So however these minutes read, I think the Fed is more hawkish today," Kelly said.
Kelly said that "unless there is some shock" he expects there will be four rate hikes this year.
The market currently expects around three rate hikes for 2018, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.
Reference: CNBC
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