The December policy statement had said a review of policy language may be warranted in early 2018. So, if the language remains unchanged, the EUR could depreciate somewhat, however, investors would then start pricing-in a change in April. So, the drop will likely be short-lived.
• EUR/USD Technical Levels A move above 1.2446 (previous day's high) would allow a stronger rise towards 1.2538 (Jan. 25 high) and 1.2556 (Feb. 16 high). On the downside, failure to hold above 1.2385 (support on 1-hour chart) could yield a sell-off to 1.2355 (1-hour 100-MA) and 1.2328 (Mar. 6 low support on 1-hour chart). • Morgan Stanley (MS.N)’s top executive said on Wednesday that potential tariffs on steel and aluminium that U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to sign later this week are a “bad idea.” • Japan’s economy expanded more than initially estimated in the last quarter of 2017, thanks to an upward revision of capital expenditure and inventory data, confirming the longest run of growth in28 years. However, despite the solid growth — the eighth consecutive quarter of expansion — analysts say the Bank of Japan is unlikely to bring forward a debate on exit from monetary stimulus given the sluggish wages that have prevented consumer spending and inflation from accelerating. • China will respond as necessary in the event of a trade war with the United States, Foreign Minister Wang Yi said on Thursday, while warning that such a war would only harm all sides. • Oil prices steadied on Thursday, supported by healthy demand, after falling the previous day under pressure from record U.S. crude production and rising inventories. Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $64.36 per barrel at 0758 GMT, up 2 cents, or 0.03 percent, from their previous close. That slight rise came after a fall of more than2 percent the previous day. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 were at $61.16 a barrel, up 1 cent, or 0.02 percent. WTI also fell by more than 2 percent the previous session.• Goldman Sachs on Wednesday re-issued its global oil demand growth forecast of million barrels per day (bpd), despite recent signs of a slight slowdown, citing a strong start to the year and a pattern of second-quarter demand acceleration.2018 1.85 Reference: Reuters, CNBC, FXStreet