• MTS Economic News_20180823

    23 Aug 2018 | Economic News


·         The dollar rose on Thursday as investors bought the greenback on the back of political turmoil in Australia and after the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting indicated the U.S. central bank is on course to further raise interest rates.

The dollar index, which weighs the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, gained more than 0.3 percent to 95.453. The index moved off a near-three-week low of 94.934 reached overnight.

The euro was down about 0.4 percent at $1.1551, moving off a two-week high of $1.1623 touched overnight. The common currency had risen for six consecutive sessions against the greenback.

At 0417 GMT, the yen had fallen 0.27 percent to 110.84 versus the dollar on safe-haven demand for the dollar and as expectations of further U.S. interest rate increases dampened demand for the Japanese currency.

The Australian dollar tumbled more than half a percent after Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull’s leadership could be doomed following the resignation of three senior ministers.

Turnbull said he would hold a second leadership vote on Friday if he received a letter signed by the majority of the ruling Liberal party.

The Aussie was down 0.8 percent to $0.7293 as of 0356 GMT, not far off the 19-month low of $0.72025 touched on Aug. 15.

The offshore yuan was 0.36 percent weaker at 6.8734 yuan per dollar about 40 minutes after the latest round of tariffs took effect.

The British pound gave up about 0.4 percent to $1.2864 after Britain said it will step up its planning for a no-deal Brexit.

·         The skill of technical analysis can be used on any market and on any timeframe and today i wanted to show you an example of this on the US Dollar Index 0.33%

Recently the DXY 0.33% has violated a previous level of structure breaking to the upside. As we begin to get some dollar relief we're seeing a retracement back into the level of the initial breakout. For those looking to get long this is the perfect opportunity to start looking for opportunities.

A hold of the 94 level would be ideal, but as long as we don't violate 93.20's I'll be holding on to my bullish bias.


·         EUR/USD bear trend is on hold for the 6th consecutive day and the FOMC minutes did nothing convincing to tame the current buying pressure as EUR/USD jumped about pips on the release of the Fed’s report. The gains were short-lived as the market quickly came back to levels just prior to the release.

EUR/USD bull trend remains in place as the market is trading above rising and widening 50, 100 and 200-period simple moving averages. The real challenge for bulls is to breakout above 1.1628 swing high as this would mean a higher high on the daily chart. A break of the level would target 1.1667 August 2 high and 1.1750 supply level.

A bear breakout below 1.1500 would invalidate the bullish bias.

·         The United States and China were poised to escalate their trade war on Thursday, with both sides set to implement punitive 25 percent tariffs on $16 billion worth of the other’s goods.

The latest round brings to $50 billion the value of imports subjected to tariffs on either side since early July, and more are in the pipeline, adding to risks for global economic growth.

Washington will hold hearings this week on a proposed list of an additional $200 billion worth of Chinese imports to face duties.

The tariffs were set to take effect amid two days of talks in Washington between mid-level officials from both sides, the first formal negotiations since U.S. Commerce Secretary met with Chinese economic adviser Liu He in Beijing in June

·         A summit with U.S. President Donald Trump was useful but U.S. sanctions against Moscow are counter-productive and pointless, Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Wednesday.

Putin also said Europe needed the Moscow-led Nord Stream-2 gas pipeline project and that Russia was the most suitable supplier of energy for Europe.

·         Investors have trimmed their short positions on Asian currencies over the last two weeks, a Reuters poll showed, as a weaker dollar, coupled with optimism over Sino-U.S. trade tensions and tightening monetary policy in the region improved risk appetite.

·         Oil prices slipped on Thursday, weighed down by the escalating trade dispute between the United States and China, although a decline in U.S. commercial crude inventories offered some support.

International benchmark Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 were at $74.54 per barrel at 0647 GMT, down 24 cents, or 0.3 percent, from their last close.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLcwere at $67.80 per barrel, down cents from their last settlement, somewhat supported by a decline in U.S. crude inventories.

Reference: Reuters,Trading View,CNBC

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