Gold is looking ready to re-start its bull run after five years of “caged trading,” which means the yellow metal could be looking at retracing its path to 2013’s peak of $1,700 an ounce, according to Bloomberg Intelligence (BI).
“Gold has worthy catalysts for price gains after five years of caged trading. It stands to be the primary beneficiary, absent a definitive U.S.-China trade accord that reverses accelerating global declines in sovereign-debt yields, rate-cut expectations and increasing stock-market volatility,” BI senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone said in the July outlook.
Gold’s breach of $1,400 an ounce and a surge to six-year highs has lit a fire under the bull run, which is looking strong at this point, McGlone noted.
“Gold's 2Q top-performer status is set to carry into 2H, in our view,” he wrote. “Seemingly unstoppable trends in increasing sovereign debt-to-GDP levels and declining bond yields are gold-price supportive. These macro trends need to reverse for the price of gold to not advance.”
Sustained trading above $1,410 is a sign of a renewed bull run and an indication that 2013’s peak of $1,700 an ounce will guide the metal’s price target resistance, McGlone pointed out.
Reference: KITCO
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