• MTS Gold Evening News 20190801

    1 Aug 2019 | Gold News
· Gold prices dropped to two-week lows on Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points as expected but tampered market expectations of a lengthy easing cycle, lifting the dollar to a two-year high.

Spot gold was down 0.4% at $1,407.40 per ounce as of 0735 GMT, after falling to its lowest since July 17 at $1,404.71.

U.S. gold futures slipped 1.4% to $1,418.10 an ounce.


· “Adopting the rate cuts the way they (Fed) primed is more like an insurance policy rather than a commencement of series of rate cuts, that created a bit of uncertainty,” said John Sharma, an economist with National Australia Bank.


· As expected by markets, policymakers moved the U.S. central bank’s benchmark overnight lending rate to a target range of 2.00% to 2.25%, citing concerns about the global economy and muted U.S. inflation.

However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell, speaking in a news conference after the release of the central bank’s statement, characterised Wednesday’s rate cut as “a mid-cycle adjustment to policy”, a sign to markets that further sharp cuts were not imminent.


· “The Fed was non-committal for the need for further rate cuts as such gold was sold off,” said Heng Koon How, head of markets strategy at Singapore’s United Overseas Bank.

“Our longer-term gold view remains positive. Over the near-term, we can expect gold to trade within the $1,400 to $1,450 range.”

· In the wake of Powell’s comments, the dollar rose 0.3% to a two-year high on Thursday, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.


· “The dollar has broken out on the charts and looks like it is going to push higher still, yet another reason to pursue caution when it comes to the long side in the precious group,” INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir said in a note.


· On the trade front, U.S. and Chinese negotiators ended a brief round of trade talks with little sign of progress and agreed to meet again in September, prolonging an uneasy truce in a year-long trade war between the world’s two largest economies.


· Meanwhile, holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, fell 0.18% to 823.42 tonnes on Wednesday from Tuesday.

· A bullish target at $1,452 per ounce has been aborted for spot gold, following its fall on Wednesday, said Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

· Gold technical analysis: Eyes break below $1,400 after bearish engulfing

Gold is looking south and could drop below $1,400 before the weekend, according to technical charts.

The yellow metal fell from $1,434 to $1,410 on Wednesday, engulfing the price action seen in the preceding seven days.

The bearish engulfing candle indicates a resumption of the pullback from the July 19 high of $1,453.

Further, the metal also confirmed a downside break of an ascending channel with a close below $1,420 yesterday.

What’s more, the 14-day relative strength index is now reporting bearish conditions with a below-50 reading for the first time since the end of May.

· Gold July monthly doji candle suggest exhaustion or some consolidation in the process after rallying for a while.

use the pullback towards 1360-1388 to accumulate. Gold has broken out of monthly downtrend and should be on track to hit USD 1,500.00


· Elsewhere, silver was down 1.3% at $16.04 per ounce, after touching a two-week low of $15.97 earlier in the session.

Platinum was 0.8% lower at $853.06 an ounce, after falling to its lowest since July 23 at $846.50, while palladium eased 0.4% to $1,510.36.


Reference: CNBC 


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