· Gold gained 1% on Monday after attacks on oil facilities in Saudi Arabia fueled concerns of a further escalation in Middle East tensions and pushed investors toward safe-haven assets.
· Spot gold climbed 1% to $1,503.31 per ounce at 1:36 p.m. EDT (1736 GMT).
U.S. gold futures settled up 0.8% at $1,511.50.
· “The Saudi Arabian situation is driving gold prices higher as people are looking for havens, (watching out) for any negative fallout, both economic and political,” said George Gero, managing director at RBC Wealth Management
“Gold will continue to be steady on the upside if there’s an escalation (in the Saudi Arabia situation).”
· Drone attacks on two plants at the heart of Saudi Arabia’s oil industry on Saturday triggered a surge in oil prices and a slide in wider financial markets.
While the Yemeni Houthi group claimed responsibility for the attack, a senior U.S. official indicated Iran was behind it.
· Gold is often used as a safe store of value during times of political and financial uncertainty.
· “This is the biggest geopolitical flashpoint to impact the world marketplace in quite some time ... Sharply higher oil prices may throw a monkey wrench into central banks’ monetary policies, which had heretofore been leaning very easy,” Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst with Kitco Metals, wrote in a note.
· Central banks globally face increasing pressure to dole out monetary support for flagging economies as the U.S.-China trade war hurts trade and business sentiment.
· Markets are awaiting policy decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan on Wednesday.
· Lower U.S. interest rates put pressure on the dollar and bond yields, increasing the appeal of non-yielding bullion.
· Meanwhile, data from China showed growth in industrial production slipped to its lowest level in 17-1/2 years amid the spreading pain from a trade war.
· However, a 0.4% rise in the dollar made gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, limiting bullion’s advance.
· Markets will also be looking to the Federal Reserve meeting this week. "But, with the market nearly fully pricing in a 25bp cut for this meeting, the focus will likely reside on the distribution of the dot plot as June saw divided committee, analysts at TD Securities argued.
"With little pushback from Fed members for another cut following this one, we continue to see room for the signalling of another cut in 2019. Further, markets will watch Powell's statement for any mention that the Fed will do what is 'necessary to sustain expansion', which was previously interpreted as a dovish acknowledgement of the need for further cuts, along with the potential omission of the 'mid-cycle adjustment' remark which was scrapped from Chair Powell's Jackson Hole speech."
· The bearish pin bar and subsequent negative close at the end of the week painted a compelling bearish case on the daily chart, although the price, has so far, held up in the 1480s and has been unable to break and hold above the 21-day moving average, accumulated around a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. On the downside, a 50% mean reversion of the late June swing lows to recent highs around 1470 that guards the 19 July swing highs at 1,452.93. Bulls have attempted space in the 1500s but they really need to get through the 1,550 level which then guards prospects for 1,590 as the 127.2% Fibo target area.
· Silver jumped 2.7% to $17.90 an ounce, while platinum fell 1.2% to $937.02.
· Palladium fell 0.3% to $1,601.80 per ounce after hitting a record high of $1,626.81.
· Platinum and palladium are reacting to the jump in crude prices since both metals are used not just as autocatalysts, but also to crack crude oil into heating oil and gasoline, said RBC Wealth Management’s Gero.
Reference: Reuters, FXStreet
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