• MTS Gold Evening News 20191022

    22 Oct 2019 | Gold News


· Gold was largely muted on Tuesday, weighed down by buoyant Asian shares that cheered progress in trade talks between the United States and China, but found support from a lack of clarity in the negotiation details.

Spot gold was largely unchanged at $1,484.86 per ounce as of 0632 GMT. U.S. gold futures also held firm at $1,487.80.

· China and the United States have achieved some progress in their trade talks, Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Le Yucheng said on Tuesday, adding that as long as both sides respected each other, no problem could not be resolved.

Le’s comments came a day after U.S. President Donald Trump spoke of optimism about a deal, while White House adviser Larry Kudlow said tariffs on Chinese goods scheduled for December could be withdrawn if talks go well.

This cheered markets and pushed the benchmark S&P 500 stock index within striking distance of a record high on Monday. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan gained 0.4% on Tuesday.

· “Equities markets are in a risk-on mode, and there seems to be a lack of support for gold prices and precious metals,” said Margaret Yang Yan, a market analyst at CMC Markets, adding that fears of a no-deal Brexit had ebbed and progressing U.S.-China trade talks gave markets some relief.

In the latest on the Brexit proceedings, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s parliamentary battle starts again on Tuesday, when lawmakers will debate and vote on the Withdrawal Agreement Bill, the detailed legislation that puts his exit deal into British domestic law.

· “The (slip in prices) does not mean gold will continue to decline, because the market sees the Fed cutting another 25 basis points in its October meeting. For now it still looks like a healthy correction,” Yan said

Investors await a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting at the end of the month that could offer further signs of monetary easing. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

· “Though we remain optimistic on safe haven appeal for Q4, traders should take caution at key support level of $1,480 as strong technical selling may drive gold prices towards $1,473 and $1,459 in the near term,” Phillip Futures analyst Benjamin Lu said.

· Gold technical analysis: Choppy inside monthly trendline, 200-bar SMA


Gold’s repeated failures to cross 200-bar Simple Moving Average (SMA) fails to portray the yellow metal’s weakness as the monthly trend line limits its downside. The Bullion presently tests the support line while flashing $1,483.55 as a quote amid Tuesday’s Asian session.

Adding to the odds favoring downside is the bearish signal from the 12-bar Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) indicator.

However, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of September-October declines, at $1,479 could question the price drop, a break of which highlights the importance of $1,475/74 area including early-month lows.

In a case bears dominate below $1,474, the monthly bottom near to $1,455 will be on their radars.

Alternatively, upside break of 200-bar SMA, at $1,499 now, will trigger fresh run-up to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $1,518 whereas late-September high around $1,535 could lure bulls afterward.


· Among other precious metals, silver rose 0.1% to $17.58 an ounce, extending gains for a fifth straight session. Platinum dipped 0.1% to $886.63 and palladium gained 0.5% to $1,766.32 an ounce. (Reporting by Karthika Suresh Namboothiri in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak Dasgupta)


Reference: Reuters, FX Street

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