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· Gold was en route to a weekly gain on Friday as uncertainty about the fate of U.S.-China trade deal gripped investors ahead of a U.S. jobs report that could offer further insight on the state of the American economy.

Spot gold was flat at $1,475.36 an ounce at 0340 GMT, but headed for a second straight weekly gain, up about 0.8% for the week so far.

U.S. gold futures were down 0.2% at $1,480.40.

· “Gold hasn’t really found a direction, it is indecisive. Right now it is consolidating and waiting for an opportunity which could change on Dec. 15,” said Margaret Yang Yan, a market analyst at CMC Markets.

A new round of U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods is scheduled to take effect on Dec. 15. China wants a halt to new tariffs and an end to existing ones as part of any interim deal to de-escalate the trade war.

“If the trade talks break down, then the price could spike up. Otherwise, we see gold to continue consolidating towards the year-end,” Yang Yan said. “It’s completely different from earlier in the year when gold was absolutely the star.”

· U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday said trade talks with China are “moving right along”.

Trump’s upbeat comments supported Asian stocks, holding back bullion, which is favoured in times of political and financial uncertainty.

· Bullion has gained 15% so far this year, which could be its biggest annual rise since 2010, mainly bolstered by the impact of the 17-month-long U.S.-China trade war on the global economy.

· “Gold is consolidating towards the high end of the recent range heading into the weekend. Which makes absolute sense in this current environment where uncertainty is high, and rates are low,” said Stephen Innes, AxiTrader market strategist, in a note.

· Traders are now bracing for the U.S. non-farm payrolls report due later on Friday to determine how well the U.S. economy is holding up, after a series of weak U.S. economic data reports.

· A modest U.S. economic growth outlook has barely changed despite a majority of economists in a Reuters poll being “reasonably confident” an initial trade deal will be signed with China within the next three months.

· Gold: Modestly changed to $1475 as markets turn cautious ahead of US NFP

Gold fails to extend the previous day’s recovery while trading near $1475/76 amid Friday’s Asian session. That said, the yellow metal registers failures to close beyond 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for the third consecutive day. However, traders turn cautious ahead of the key catalysts and prefer waiting over taking trades off-late.

Despite the United States (US) President Donald Trump’s repeated attempts to appease market players about the phase-one details, investors seem to lose interest in the headlines from the Trump administration. The reason could be found in recently contrasting statements, reducing odds of any deal and showing hardships in negotiations, from global media and China.

Looking forward, trade/political headlines could offer intermediate moves to the precious metal while major attention will be on the November month US employment data including the headline Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Unemployment Rate and Average Hourly Earnings. Among them, the NFP is expected to rise to 180K from 128K prior while Unemployment Rate and Average Hourly Earnings could stay unchanged at 3.6% and 3.0% respectively.

Technical Analysis


In addition to a successful trade beyond 50-day EMA level of $1,477, buyers will look for entry beyond the monthly top close to $1,485 while aiming $1,500 mark. Alternatively, $1,463 and short-term rising support line around $1,455 can entertain sellers.