• MTS Gold Evening News 20200825

    25 Aug 2020 | Gold News
 
 
Gold: US-China trade optimism to limit the bounce

Gold is showing some signs of life in Tuesday’s trading so far, as the greenback eased broadly amid a risk-on market environment but US-China trade optimism is set to falter XAU/USD’s rebound. Furthermore, dollar stay bulls cautious ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole appearance, FXStreet’s Dhwani Mehta reports.


Key quotes
“The yellow metal’s upside attempts appear limited, as the risk-on action on the global markets could weigh on the metal. Gold also remains at the risk of the dollar replicating Monday’s comeback moves, in light of the rally in the Treasury yields.”

“Markets will closely watch out for fresh US-China trade developments and US CB Consumer Confidence data for fresh trading impetus. The main highlight for this week remains the Fed Chair Powell's appearance at the Jackson Hole Symposium.”

“Gold is fighting hard to regain the robust resistance near $1937, the confluence of the 21 and 50-hourly Simple Moving Averages (HMA). The hourly RSI, currently at 52.80, is inching higher, suggesting that the bounce from $1924 lows could extend.”

“Although the bearish 100-HMA at $1947 could offer stiff resistance. Acceptance above the latter, the horizontal 200-HMA at $1955 could be tested. A convincing break above that level is critical to reviving the bullish momentum in the near-term.”

“To the downside, a break below the rising trendline support at $1927 could trigger a fresh drop towards the daily lows. Friday’s low at $1912 could be put at risk, further south.”


Gold ticks higher as dollar slips; focus turns to Powell’s speech

· Gold edged higher on Tuesday as the dollar dipped, with investors awaiting U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech later this week, while a rally in equity markets limited bullion’s advance.

· Spot gold was up 0.2% to $1,935.88 per ounce by 0335 GMT. U.S. gold futures gained 0.1% at $1,941.60.

· On Thursday, Powell is due to talk at a gathering of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where he is expected to provide further clarity into the U.S. central bank’s efforts to revamp its approach to monetary policy.

· “There is lot of focus on Jackson Hole symposium and Powell’s speech. I think the markets are reluctant to commit to a direction until that happens,” said DailyFx currency strategist Ilya Spivak, adding that gold prices are closely tracking movements in the dollar.

· “We have seen a pullback in gold since beginning of the month around the sense that may be the Fed is not going to do much in terms of expanding its policy tool kit.”

· The central bank has rolled out a wave of fiscal and monetary stimulus measures and cut interest rates to near zero to combat the economic toll caused by the pandemic, helping gold climb nearly 28% this year.

· Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion and weigh on the dollar, making gold cheaper for investors holding other currencies

· The dollar index fell 0.1% against its rivals on Tuesday.

· Limiting gold’s appeal, Asian stock markets rose as investors cheered signs of progress in U.S.-China trade negotiations and following a fresh Wall Street rally.

· On the technical side, spot gold may test a support at $1,911 per ounce, as suggested by its wave pattern and a projection analysis, said Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

· Elsewhere, silver gained 0.6% to $26.71 per ounce, platinum rose 1.2% to $926.32, and palladium climbed 0.9% to $2,180.47.


Reference: FXStreet, CNBC

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