Joe Biden is still beating President Donald Trump in most general election polls – but averages of recent surveys show signs that the Democratic nominee’s lead is narrowing slightly following the parties’ national conventions.
As of Wednesday, the polling averages show some movement toward the president:
- FiveThirtyEight’s polling tracker has Biden ahead of Trump by 7.5 percentage points. Biden led Trump by more than 9 points in the tracker on the eve of the RNC kickoff on Aug. 24.
- RealClearPolitics’ polling average gives Biden the same 7.5-point advantage over Trump, 49.7%-42.2%. That gap has shrunk from the more than 10-point lead Biden held over the president in late June, though the latest figure falls roughly in line with - -- Trump’s average polling deficit throughout August. RCP’s average showed Biden had a 7.8-point lead over Trump at the start of the GOP convention.
RCP gives Biden an overall spread of 2.5 points over the president in a selection of swing states. That’s down from a 3.8-point gap at the start of the RNC.
- Reuters’ online poll of 1,335 American adults, conducted Monday and Tuesday, found Biden’s 7-point lead over Trump – 47% to 40% – to be largely unchanged since before the late-August conventions. The poll has a credibility interval of 3 to 5 percentage points.
- USA Today/Suffolk University’s latest gave Biden a 7-point gap over Trump at 50%-43%, respectively. That’s down from the pollster’s June survey, which gave the Democratic challenger a 12-point advantage over the president. The survey of 1,000 registered voters, conducted by phone from Friday through Monday, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
Reference: CNBC
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