Gold retreats as dollar ticks up, but set for weekly rise
· Gold fell on Friday after surging in the previous session, as the dollar gained, but was set for its best week since late July on hopes for more central bank economic support as investors bet on a divided U.S. Congress under a Biden presidency.
· Spot gold fell 0.6% to $1,936.95 per ounce by 0402 GMT. Prices soared 2.4% on Thursday on a dollar slide, setting it up for a 3.1% gain for the week.
· U.S. gold futures fell 0.4% to $1,939.00.
· Gold Futures: Scope for further upside
Traders increased their open interest positions in Gold futures markets for the third session in a row on Thursday, this time by more than 21K contracts and reaching the largest single day build since mid-June according to flash data from CME Group. Volume followed suit and also rose for the third consecutive session, now by 7.4K contracts.
Gold now looks to $1,990/oz
Thursday’s positive price action in gold prices was on the back of the continuation of the uptrend in open interest and volume, opening the door to extra gains and with the next target at the September peaks in the $1,990 mark per ounce.
· The dollar rose, making gold less attractive to other currency holders.
· “A small rally by the dollar in Asia has seen gold profit-taking appear, but the fundamentals appear to be rapidly aligning for further gold strength,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA.
“The U.S. election seems likely to give us a Democrat President and Republican Senate, maintaining the status quo on policy and that has allowed markets to get back to the real issue of 2020 – central bank easing on a huge scale.”
· Biden edged closer to victory but votes were still being counted in key states and Republican incumbent Donald Trump escalated efforts to cast doubt on the election’s integrity.
· Prospects of a divided Congress dimmed chances for immediate stimulus, driving expectations the Fed might need to fill the gap.
· “Is there enough fiscal stimulus to trigger the inflation aspect for gold to rise to $2,000 again? Ultimately that’s going to happen but this is where the uncertainty lies,” said Stephen Innes, chief global market strategist at financial services firm Axi.
· The U.S. Federal Reserve on Thursday promised to keep interest rates low.
· Near-zero interest rates amid massive pandemic-driven stimulus globally have helped non-yielding gold, considered an inflation hedge, gain over 27% this year.
· Silver fell 0.7% to $25.15 an ounce. Platinum dropped 0.4% to $888.76, while palladium gains 0.5% to $2,388.40.
Reference: CNBC, FXStreet
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