The dollar took a breather from its grind higher on Wednesday, easing slightly from multi-month peaks as a bout of risk-aversion ebbed, though selling was light as expectations of a cautious European Central Bank had the euro pinned down.
The euro touched a fresh three-month trough of $1.1755 overnight and its small rebound had carried it only as far as $1.1780 by early in the Asia session.
The Australian and New Zealand dollars also rose from year-to-date lows, while sterling lifted off a five-month low.
But the moves barely dented a month of dollar gains, with even a 0.5% overnight jump by the Canadian dollar leaving it below its 200-day moving average.
Analysts said the U.S. dollar index, last at 92.971 and up 2.8% since mid-June, seemed poised to test its March peak of 93.439.
The dollar also rose slightly against the safe-haven Japanese currency to buy 109.96 yen, after dropping to as low as 109.07 yen this week when fresh concerns about new coronavirus cases globally drove investors into safer assets.
Virus infections, and particularly the contagious delta variant, continue to drag on Asian currencies other than the yen as new lockdowns have been enforced from Seoul to Sydney.
Sterling has similarly faced pressure as Covid-19 cases soar while England lifts most social restrictions, trusting that vaccines will prevent hospitals from being overwhelmed.
Sterling was last at $1.3631, off Tuesday’s five-month low of $1.3576 but below its 20-day and 200-day moving averages.
The Australian dollar traded at $0.7319 after touching $0.7300 overnight and the kiwi at $0.6916 off a low of $0.6882. The Canadian dollar traded at C$1.2687 per greenback.
With a light data calendar on Wednesday, traders are looking ahead to the European Central Bank meeting on Thursday. A dovish tone is expected after President Christine Lagarde foreshadowed a guidance tweak during an interview last week.
The ECB announced a new strategy which allows the bank to tolerate inflation above its 2% target and Lagarde said policy guidance would be revisited to demonstrate the bank’s commitment to the new goal.
“No change in the ECB bias is unlikely to be enough to send the euro higher,” analysts at ING said in a note. “At the same time, any ECB shift towards the dovish interpretation of the strategic review would underscore the recent downward euro/dollar trend.”
· Bitcoin climbs back over $30,000
Bitcoin recovered from a one-month low and broke back above $30,000 on Wednesday, suggesting firm support around that level even as the mood in broader financial markets remained fragile.