• Fed signals possibility of 6 to 7 rate hikes through 2024 as taper talks advance

    27 Sep 2021 | Economic News
  
 

Fed signals possibility of 6 to 7 rate hikes through 2024 as taper talks advance

 

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday telegraphed it could hike rates six to seven times by the end of 2024, illustrating the central bank’s optimism that the COVID-19 recovery will progress well enough for the Fed to tighten its easy money policies in a few years.

 

The policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee still held interest rates at near-zero in its updated statement, but said it had advanced talks on paring back its asset purchase program.

 

“If progress continues broadly as expected, the Committee judges that a moderation in the pace of asset purchases may soon be warranted,” the FOMC statement reads.

 

The central bank only has two more meetings this year to announce a taper: in early November and in mid-December.

 

The Fed has insisted that the timing of a taper is not a “direct signal” on the timing of rate liftoff. But “dot plot” projections, which map out each of the 18 FOMC members’ expectations for where rates will be in coming years, suggest that the central bank is pulling forward its forecast for 25 basis point rate hikes.



The updated forecast now has the committee split on rate hikes in 2022, with 9 members seeing the case for no rate hikes next year but the other 9 seeing the case for at least one hike. By the end of 2023, the median dot projects three to four total rate hikes.

 

Through the end of 2024, the median FOMC member sees six to seven total rate hikes.

 

In the last round of projections released in June, the median member of the FOMC saw no rate hikes through the end of 2022 but two rate hikes in 2023.

 

Reference: Finance.yahoo

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