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Pacific Investment Management Co. updated its outlook overnight

• Downgraded its outlook for global growth in 2016: to expand 2% to 2.5% for 2016 (were forecasting 2.6%)
• Their U.S. GDP growth outlook is now 1.75 to 2.25 % (down 0.25% from their previous forecast in December)
• See 1 or 2 Federal Reserve rate hikes this year
• Its China outlook is for 5.5 to 6.5% (left unchanged)
• On oil, says ... may get to $50/bbl, citing higher demand triggered by lower prices & "supply rebalancing"

On the yuan:

• Says its "by far the single biggest risk for the global economy and markets this year"
• They see it depreciating 7% against the USD this year

Other risks they highlight:

• Possible Brexit
• US election
• Ongoing Brazil (and elsewhere) instability
• Refugee crisis in Europe

(Reuters) The continued rise in stockpiles is grinding away at the gains in prices that were largely driven by plans of major producers, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, to freeze production.

U.S. oil prices fell in Asian trading on Thursday, adding to a slump in the previous session, after stockpiles rose for the sixth week to another record, sapping the strength of a two-month rally in prices.

U.S. crude futures were down 10 cents at $39.69 a barrel at 0302 GMT, trading further below the important $40 level.

It closed down $1.66, or 4 percent, at $39.79 a barrel on Wednesday. That marked the sharpest one-day drop for the front-month contract in U.S. crude since Feb. 11.

Brent crude futures were up 7 cents at $40.54 a barrel, after trading lower earlier in the session. They finished the last session down $1.32, or 3.2 percent, at $40.47 a barrel.

Earlier this week, both benchmarks had risen by more than 50 percent from multi-year lows that hit in January.

The U.S. government's Energy Information Administration (EIA) said crude stockpiles climbed by 9.4 million barrels last week - three times the 3.1 million barrels build forecast by analysts in a Reuters poll.

"OPEC production is still high and Iran is expected to continue to ramp up," said Tony Nunan, oil risk manager at Mitsubishi Corp in Tokyo

"I expect crude to come back down again and test the $35 level again if we continue to get builds," he said.

The market was also supported by a release showing crude stockpiles at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub - an important data point - fell for the first time in seven weeks.

Reference: Reuters, CME Group, Forexlive